Mortgage lending up
Mortgage lending gained pace in August, according to the British Bankers’ Association (BBA), and this has been taken as a sign that the worst of the housing market slowdown is over.
Underlying mortgage lending rose by £4.3 billion last month, according the BBA’s report; this figure has been seasonally adjusted. The figure is a vast improvement on July’s £3.7 billion and is on an even keel with the monthly average of £4.4 billion of the last six months.
In a separate report the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) said gross mortgage lending (excluding redemptions) rose by nine per cent in August to £27.5 billion, the highest amount since July last year.
The rise was mainly driven by remortgaging, the CML said.
Price decline at lowest in a year
House prices continued to fall in August, according to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). However, declines were the smallest for a year and support an overall picture of a stabilising market. Chartered surveyors reported that the pace of price falls eased across the country, with modest rises still evident in Scotland.
Completed property sales rose for the second month running, which suggests that a degree of confidence is returning to the market. In addition, enquiries from would-be buyers rose for a third consecutive month, up at the fastest pace since January 2004, as the August interest rate cut provided a lift to confidence.
Investors returning to market
Investors have come back to the new homes market during September, heralding a revival in the housing market and avoiding a repeat of last year’s autumn market ‘hibernation’, reports house builder Linden Homes. Research carried out by Linden shows that reservations of new homes across the UK during the first two weeks of September this year stood at 2,196, compared with 1,484 during the same period last year, a 47.9 per cent increase. A staggering 83 per cent of Linden’s units in key Sunningdale and Dorking sites last week were sold to investors.
Philip Davies, Chief Executive of Linden Homes comments, ‘I am encouraged by the numbers of investors returning to the market this September and making reservations. Professional landlords with plenty of cash have held their nerve over the summer but many were choosing not to expand their portfolios until now. They are investing for the long term and are not expecting a return to the house price inflation of previous years.’
2005’s widely predicted housing market crash has failed to materialise and instead the market appears to be heading for an autumn resurgence, as fears of sizeable drops in house prices subside. House hunters are now expecting prices to remain broadly stable into 2006 – and this has caused a noticeable change in attitude amongst buyers.
August’s reduction in interest rates to 4.5 per cent has restored faith in the market to some extent, especially for first-time buyers who feel more confident taking on their first mortgage at the start of a probable downward trend in rates.
‘The combination of a more realistically priced secondhand home market and a general lowering of expectation regarding sale prices mean we can look forward to the market gathering momentum over the autumn period,’ says Davies.